10-Year Treasury Yield Breaks Key Trend

Over the past week, investors have been fixated on the sudden volatility present in the equity markets. The Dow plunged almost 5% on Monday, the sharpest decline in almost seven years. While we believe this is likely to be the beginning of a larger-degree pullback in the short to intermediate-term, the overall upward trend remains intact -- for now. The underlying cause of this sell-off is not a simple matter of profit taking, but mainly, the…

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Reflex’s Chief Investment Strategist Q&A

Q: If the Elliott Wave Theory is so good, how come after 86 (?) years, it’s not being used by everyone? A: That’s a really good question with many answers attached. I’ll start out by saying that technical analysis fills a small niche within the investment community. And if you focus in on just TA alone, Elliott Wave Theory ultimately becomes a niche within a niche. It is but one of many approaches to investing.…

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Perpetual State of War

The United States has been at war 93% of the time… That means that we’ve been involved in some type of conflict in 222 out of 239 years since our country’s founding back in 1776. In fact, the only time the country went at least five years without war (1935-1940) was during a Great Depression “isolationist” period. In other words, you could be reaping a fortune betting on a perpetual state of war – if…

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Raiding the Most Hated Industry in America

The big four, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, are under fire again with renewed scrutiny and pressure to break up. Taxpayers who initially propped up these financial institutions in 2008 with a $700bn bailout are concerned that they’ll be on the hook once again if the underlying problems continuing to plague the industry remain unresolved. So what’s snapped the issue back from the dead? Well, we’re entering the U.S. presidential cycle.…

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Key Technical Pattern Failure Saves the Dollar

The next move for the U.S. dollar (and your net worth) is surprising. The last 15 years have been destructive for the U.S. dollar. Trillions in new debt. A genuine credit crisis. Consistent economic stagnation. The only real strong point for the U.S. dollar is that its competitors -- all other major currencies -- are in even worse shape. Comparatively, the U.S. dollar is strong. But it has hit a major turning point that’s going…

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Next Great Recession: What You Need to Know

Hard to believe that just six years ago the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit rock bottom. Headlines in the paper jumped off the front page, screaming the major index touched 6,547 in bold lettering, a price level not seen since the mid-90s! It made anyone with skin in the game sick to their stomach, especially for those with sizeable equity allocations on the verge of retirement. While the steep drop from 14,164.53 on October 9,…

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It’s Time to Say Goodbye to Your Bank CDs

How many times have you ducked out of a meeting, or were caught up in something else that required your attention, only to get the itch? You know, the one nagging you to sneak a peek at what your favorite stocks were doing. Yep, been there before. But then again, name an investor who isn’t guilty on that front! We can’t ignore the fact that we are a species born of inherent curiosities. And when…

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Consistent Profits Using Value and Momentum?

“Let Them Eat Cake”, or as Queen Marie Antoinette would have famously said, “Qu’ils mangent de la brioche” in her native tongue during the time of famine and revolution in France hundreds of years ago. While there’s no evidence or record that the statement was ever actually said, the famed line sticks with us to this day. But it’s not the only common phrase we use when referring to cake that most remember. At some…

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Smith & Wesson’s (SWHC) Recent Climb

I don’t know if it’s a basic human response or a uniquely American one. But when we are threatened with not having access to something to which we’ve grown dependent, we always have the same response. Is that response to find an alternative? No. We stockpile! When it first became a sobering reality that Hostess was closing, we stockpiled Twinkies. When incandescent bulbs were legislated out of existence, we stockpiled them, too. Arguably, nothing has…

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Apple (AAPL) Perilously Close to Critical Support

Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) has been on a decade-long tear, rewarding many investors pretty handsomely. But in a September Reflex Investor piece we published last year near the stock’s peak, we played contrarian and warned investors that Apple’s major run (in anticipation of the iPhone 5 release) was just about out of steam in the intermediate-term and that some significant ground would be ceded in the charts. It was a bold prediction... But we were dead on and…

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